Bo3 · XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026
· 2026-07-11
9z
vs
Alliance
✗
12%
88%
Series win probability
ALLI
2–0
66%
ALLI
2–1
22%
9Z
2–1
9%
9Z
2–0
3%
Actual result
Nuke
13–10
9Z
Inferno
19–17
ALLI
Ancient
13–7
9Z
Model Insights
Alliance is strongly favored at 88%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.11 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#19 vs #10), a strong nuke (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
50%
Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 2
26%
Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
24%
Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Nuke
9Z
7
–
13
ALLI
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
T 5v4
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
9z
13-9
vs TYLOO
Jul 9
13-10
vs MIBR
Jul 5
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
Alliance
8-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
Inferno
9Z
7
–
13
ALLI
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 5%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
After First Kill
9Z
ALLI
Map Player Rating
9Z
ALLI
Ranking
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
9z
13-5
vs TYLOO
Jul 9
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 4
13-8
vs The MongolZ
Jun 15
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
Alliance
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-7
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-7
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
13-11
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
Dust2
9Z
11
–
13
ALLI
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
Opening Score
9Z
ALLI
Overall Rating
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
9z
14-16
vs Alliance
Jul 4
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
Alliance
16-14
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
Nuke
9Z
7
–
13
ALLI
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
T 5v4
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
9z
13-9
vs TYLOO
Jul 9
13-10
vs MIBR
Jul 5
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
Alliance
8-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
Dust2
9Z
11
–
13
ALLI
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
Opening Score
9Z
ALLI
Overall Rating
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
9z
14-16
vs Alliance
Jul 4
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
Alliance
16-14
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
Ancient
9Z
6
–
13
ALLI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Kill
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
9z
10-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 1
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
Alliance
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-6
vs B8
Jul 3
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 1
13-1
vs Nexus
Jun 14
Nuke
9Z
7
–
13
ALLI
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
T 5v4
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
9z
13-9
vs TYLOO
Jul 9
13-10
vs MIBR
Jul 5
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
Alliance
8-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
Dust2
9Z
11
–
13
ALLI
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
Opening Score
9Z
ALLI
Overall Rating
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
9z
14-16
vs Alliance
Jul 4
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
Alliance
16-14
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
Cache
9Z
11
–
13
ALLI
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Opening Score
9Z
ALLI
Side Balance
9Z
ALLI
Overall Rating
9Z
ALLI
Ranking
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Cache
9z
no data
Alliance
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
9z
Alliance
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
NukeMirageInferno
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
NukeMirage
Jul 5
39d ago
L
0-2
vs Alliance
Dust2Inferno
Jul 4
40d ago
W
1-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Dust2
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs EYEBALLERS
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 18
56d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
InfernoOverpass
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemesis
NukeInfernoAncient
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
Dust2Inferno
Jul 4
40d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs PARIVISION
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
NukeInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Nexus
OverpassDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs fnatic
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
NukeAnubisInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs SAAB
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs Nexus
OverpassInfernoAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
Player Matchups
9z
Ratings
Alliance
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 81.8KAST 70%
ER
eraa
AWPADR 78.9KAST 76%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 79.5KAST 74%
BO
bobeksde
EntryADR 83.1KAST 71%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 73%
AV
avid
RiflerADR 77.3KAST 75%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 62.0KAST 72%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 75%
MA
max
RiflerADR 64.8KAST 71%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Ancient
9Z
6
–
13
ALLI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Kill
9Z
ALLI
After First Death
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
9z
10-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 1
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
Alliance
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jul 9
13-6
vs B8
Jul 3
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 1
13-1
vs Nexus
Jun 14
Anubis
9Z
5
–
13
ALLI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Ban Rate
9Z
ALLI
After First Kill
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
Ranking
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Anubis
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
Alliance
13-4
vs fnatic
Jun 14
5-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
9-13
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-16
vs Sharks
May 29
13-8
vs 3DMAX
May 28
Mirage
9Z
8
–
13
ALLI
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
After First Kill
9Z
ALLI
Round Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Map Win Rate
9Z
ALLI
Opening Kills
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Mirage
9z
7-13
vs TYLOO
Jul 9
16-13
vs MIBR
Jul 5
9-13
vs FURIA
Jun 18
13-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
Alliance
5-13
vs ENCE
Feb 11
10-13
vs SINNERS
Feb 10
Cache
9Z
11
–
13
ALLI
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
9Z
ALLI
Opening Score
9Z
ALLI
Side Balance
9Z
ALLI
Overall Rating
9Z
ALLI
Ranking
9Z
ALLI
Recent on Cache
9z
no data
Alliance
no data
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