Bo3 · XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026
· 2026-07-09
Alliance
vs
Nemesis
✗
23%
77%
Series win probability
NEME
2–0
42%
NEME
2–1
35%
ALLI
2–1
13%
ALLI
2–0
10%
Actual result
Nuke
13–8
NEME
Inferno
13–7
ALLI
Ancient
13–7
ALLI
Model Insights
Nemesis is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#28 vs #21), a strong nuke (85% win probability). Alliance's best shot is inferno where they hold a 61% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
48%
Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
30%
Inferno · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3
23%
Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Inferno
ALLI
13
–
10
NEME
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Kill
ALLI
NEME
Opening Kills
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-7
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
13-11
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
Nemesis
9-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 1
6-13
vs TDK
Jun 17
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
May 30
Nuke
ALLI
7
–
13
NEME
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
T Side
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
Nemesis
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 15
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-2
vs Lavked
May 29
Ancient
ALLI
10
–
13
NEME
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Kill
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Opening Kills
ALLI
NEME
CT Opening Kills
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
13-6
vs B8
Jul 3
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 1
13-1
vs Nexus
Jun 14
13-6
vs fnatic
Jun 14
Nemesis
13-10
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-16
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
13-10
vs B8
Jul 2
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-5
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 15
Inferno
ALLI
13
–
10
NEME
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Kill
ALLI
NEME
Opening Kills
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-7
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
13-11
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
Nemesis
9-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 1
6-13
vs TDK
Jun 17
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
May 30
Nuke
ALLI
7
–
13
NEME
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
T Side
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
Nemesis
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 15
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-2
vs Lavked
May 29
Dust2
ALLI
6
–
13
NEME
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
Round Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
16-14
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
Nemesis
22-19
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 20
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-9
vs FOKUS
May 31
Inferno
ALLI
13
–
10
NEME
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Kill
ALLI
NEME
Opening Kills
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-7
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
13-11
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
Nemesis
9-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 1
6-13
vs TDK
Jun 17
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-6
vs 100 Thieves
May 30
Nuke
ALLI
7
–
13
NEME
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
T Side
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
Nemesis
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 15
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 31
13-2
vs Lavked
May 29
Cache
ALLI
8
–
13
NEME
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
Opening Score
ALLI
NEME
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
NEME
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
NEME
Side Balance
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
Nemesis
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Alliance
Nemesis
W
2-0
vs 9z
Dust2Inferno
Jul 4
40d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs PARIVISION
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
NukeInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Nexus
OverpassDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs fnatic
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
NukeAnubisInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs SAAB
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs Nexus
OverpassInfernoAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs 6666
AncientInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
AncientInfernoDust2
Jul 4
40d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
MirageDust2Ancient
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Luminosity
Inferno
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs TDK
MirageOverpassDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs TDK
OverpassInfernoMirage
Jun 17
57d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
MirageNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
AncientNuke
Jun 15
59d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
NukeInferno
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
AncientMirageDust2
May 31
74d ago
Player Matchups
Alliance
Ratings
Nemesis
ER
eraa
AWPADR 79.2KAST 76%
R3
r3salt
RiflerADR 87.7KAST 75%
AV
avid
EntryADR 77.6KAST 75%
SD
Sdaim
EntryADR 78.6KAST 74%
BO
bobeksde
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 70%
MA
mag1k3Y
AWPADR 66.8KAST 75%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 75%
SE
SELLTER
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 73%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 74%
TE
tex1y
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
ALLI
13
–
5
NEME
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
After First Kill
ALLI
NEME
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
Ban Rate
ALLI
NEME
Map Player Rating
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-4
vs fnatic
Jun 14
5-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
9-13
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-16
vs Sharks
May 29
13-8
vs 3DMAX
May 28
Nemesis
no data
Dust2
ALLI
6
–
13
NEME
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
Round Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
16-14
vs 9z
Jul 4
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
Nemesis
22-19
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 20
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-9
vs FOKUS
May 31
Mirage
ALLI
7
–
13
NEME
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
After First Death
ALLI
NEME
Ban Rate
ALLI
NEME
Round Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Map Win Rate
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Mirage
Alliance
5-13
vs ENCE
Feb 11
10-13
vs SINNERS
Feb 10
Nemesis
13-10
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
13-11
vs TDK
Jun 20
13-10
vs TDK
Jun 17
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
13-5
vs FOKUS
May 31
Cache
ALLI
8
–
13
NEME
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ALLI
NEME
Opening Score
ALLI
NEME
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
NEME
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
NEME
Side Balance
ALLI
NEME
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
Nemesis
no data
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