Bo3 · XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026
· 2026-07-04
Alliance
✓
vs
9z
55%
45%
Series win probability
ALLI
2–0
31%
9Z
2–1
26%
ALLI
2–1
24%
9Z
2–0
19%
Actual result
Dust2
16–14
ALLI
Inferno
13–7
ALLI
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Alliance is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#23 vs #12), a strong nuke (65% win probability). 9z's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 68% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
51%
Inferno · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2
25%
Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 3
24%
Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Inferno
ALLI
13
–
9
9Z
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Map Player Rating
ALLI
9Z
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
13-11
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 13
9z
13-8
vs The MongolZ
Jun 15
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
16-14
vs HEROIC
May 28
Nuke
ALLI
13
–
10
9Z
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Map Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
Dust2
ALLI
9
–
13
9Z
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
9z
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
Nuke
ALLI
13
–
10
9Z
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Map Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
Dust2
ALLI
9
–
13
9Z
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
9z
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
Cache
ALLI
9
–
13
9Z
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
9Z
Overall Rating
ALLI
9Z
Schedule Strength
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
9z
no data
Nuke
ALLI
13
–
10
9Z
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Map Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
13-4
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 14
19-15
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
Dust2
ALLI
9
–
13
9Z
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
13-3
vs Nexus
Jun 14
17-19
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
9z
13-9
vs 3DMAX
Jul 3
13-5
vs SINNERS
Jul 2
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 18
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
Ancient
ALLI
13
–
9
9Z
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Round Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
13-6
vs B8
Jul 3
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 1
13-1
vs Nexus
Jun 14
13-6
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9z
10-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 1
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Alliance
9z
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs PARIVISION
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
NukeInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Nexus
OverpassDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs fnatic
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
NukeAnubisInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs SAAB
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs Nexus
OverpassInfernoAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs 6666
AncientInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs EAC
NukeInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
W
1-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Dust2
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs EYEBALLERS
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 18
56d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
InfernoOverpass
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
OverpassDust2Inferno
Jun 11
63d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
OverpassInferno
Jun 8
66d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageNuke
Jun 7
67d ago
Player Matchups
Alliance
Ratings
9z
ER
eraa
AWPADR 78.9KAST 76%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.0KAST 70%
AV
avid
EntryADR 77.7KAST 74%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 80.4KAST 74%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 75%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 73%
BO
bobeksde
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 67%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 61.5KAST 72%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 74%
MA
max
RiflerADR 64.7KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
ALLI
13
–
9
9Z
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Round Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Map Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Alliance
5-13
vs ENCE
Feb 11
10-13
vs SINNERS
Feb 10
9z
9-13
vs FURIA
Jun 18
13-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
Ancient
ALLI
13
–
9
9Z
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Round Win Rate
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
13-6
vs B8
Jul 3
13-3
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 1
13-1
vs Nexus
Jun 14
13-6
vs fnatic
Jun 14
9z
10-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 1
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
Anubis
ALLI
13
–
9
9Z
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
9Z
Ban Rate
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Opening Kills
ALLI
9Z
After First Death
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-4
vs fnatic
Jun 14
5-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
9-13
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-16
vs Sharks
May 29
13-8
vs 3DMAX
May 28
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
Cache
ALLI
9
–
13
9Z
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Score
ALLI
9Z
Ranking
ALLI
9Z
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
9Z
Overall Rating
ALLI
9Z
Schedule Strength
ALLI
9Z
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
9z
no data
More from XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026
2 matches