Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1
· 2026-06-25
LP
vs
MIBR Academy
✗
25%
75%
Series win probability
MA
2–1
45%
MA
2–0
30%
LP
2–1
16%
LP
2–0
9%
Actual result
Mirage
13–11
MA
Ancient
13–9
LP
Nuke
13–3
LP
Model Insights
MIBR Academy is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#172 vs #63), a strong mirage (87% win probability). LP's best shot is nuke where they hold a 85% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
35%
Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Nuke
LP
13
–
6
MA
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
T Side
LP
MA
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
2-13
vs Galorys
May 15
13-3
vs Isurus
May 10
MIBR Academy
13-11
vs Isurus
Jun 24
16-13
vs R2
May 20
6-13
vs ALKA
May 17
13-5
vs Red Feet
May 15
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
Mirage
LP
7
–
13
MA
13%
87%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Multi-Kills
LP
MA
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
MA
Recent on Mirage
LP
2-13
vs BESTIA
May 31
6-13
vs Galorys
May 30
13-5
vs 25 cents
May 28
13-9
vs Galorys
May 24
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 24
MIBR Academy
8-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
13-6
vs Procyon
May 19
13-3
vs Red Feet
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
1-13
vs Fluxo
Apr 26
Ancient
LP
9
–
13
MA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
After First Kill
LP
MA
Map Win Rate
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7
vs Galorys
May 30
19-17
vs GameHunters
May 29
10-13
vs Galorys
May 27
11-13
vs Isurus
May 23
16-14
vs Yawara
May 22
MIBR Academy
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
11-13
vs ALKA
May 17
13-2
vs BESTIA Academy
Apr 1
10-13
vs Keyd Stars
Mar 26
8-13
vs Galorys
Mar 19
Nuke
LP
13
–
6
MA
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
T Side
LP
MA
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
2-13
vs Galorys
May 15
13-3
vs Isurus
May 10
MIBR Academy
13-11
vs Isurus
Jun 24
16-13
vs R2
May 20
6-13
vs ALKA
May 17
13-5
vs Red Feet
May 15
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
Mirage
LP
7
–
13
MA
13%
87%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Multi-Kills
LP
MA
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
MA
Recent on Mirage
LP
2-13
vs BESTIA
May 31
6-13
vs Galorys
May 30
13-5
vs 25 cents
May 28
13-9
vs Galorys
May 24
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 24
MIBR Academy
8-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
13-6
vs Procyon
May 19
13-3
vs Red Feet
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
1-13
vs Fluxo
Apr 26
Overpass
LP
6
–
13
MA
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
MA
Recent on Overpass
LP
13-8
vs Galorys
May 30
5-13
vs Galorys
May 27
10-13
vs Galorys
May 24
10-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 24
13-7
vs Galorys
May 9
MIBR Academy
9-13
vs Procyon
May 19
11-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
5-13
vs Galorys
Apr 27
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 18
13-8
vs Crashers
Mar 21
Nuke
LP
13
–
6
MA
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
T Side
LP
MA
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
2-13
vs Galorys
May 15
13-3
vs Isurus
May 10
MIBR Academy
13-11
vs Isurus
Jun 24
16-13
vs R2
May 20
6-13
vs ALKA
May 17
13-5
vs Red Feet
May 15
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
Mirage
LP
7
–
13
MA
13%
87%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Multi-Kills
LP
MA
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
MA
Recent on Mirage
LP
2-13
vs BESTIA
May 31
6-13
vs Galorys
May 30
13-5
vs 25 cents
May 28
13-9
vs Galorys
May 24
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 24
MIBR Academy
8-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
13-6
vs Procyon
May 19
13-3
vs Red Feet
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
1-13
vs Fluxo
Apr 26
Dust2
LP
11
–
13
MA
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Win Rate
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
Opening Kills
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
13-2
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
11-13
vs Yawara
May 22
9-13
vs Isurus
May 14
13-11
vs BESTIA Academy
May 12
MIBR Academy
16-12
vs Isurus
Jun 24
4-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
9-13
vs Procyon
May 19
8-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 2
13-10
vs Fluxo
Apr 26
Recent Results
last 11 matches
LP
MIBR Academy
W
2-1
vs BESTIA
MirageInfernoNuke
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs Galorys
MirageOverpassAncient
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs GameHunters
Dust2Ancient
May 29
76d ago
W
2-0
vs 25 cents
MirageInferno
May 28
77d ago
L
0-2
vs Galorys
AncientOverpass
May 27
78d ago
W
2-1
vs Galorys
OverpassNukeMirage
May 24
81d ago
L
0-2
vs Bounty Hunters
MirageOverpass
May 24
81d ago
W
2-0
vs Keyd Stars
Dust2Nuke
May 23
82d ago
W
2-1
vs Isurus
MirageAncientInferno
May 23
82d ago
W
2-1
vs Yawara
Dust2InfernoAncient
May 22
83d ago
W
2-0
vs VEXA
MirageInferno
May 21
84d ago
W
2-0
vs Isurus
NukeDust2
Jun 24
50d ago
L
1-2
vs Bounty Hunters
Dust2AncientMirage
May 22
83d ago
W
2-0
vs R2
NukeAnubis
May 20
85d ago
L
1-2
vs Procyon
MirageDust2Overpass
May 19
86d ago
L
0-2
vs ALKA
NukeAncient
May 17
88d ago
W
2-0
vs Red Feet
MirageNuke
May 15
90d ago
L
0-2
vs Keyd Stars
AnubisDust2
May 2
103d ago
L
1-2
vs ShindeN
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 29
106d ago
L
0-2
vs Galorys
NukeOverpass
Apr 27
108d ago
W
2-1
vs Fluxo
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 26
109d ago
L
0-1
vs Galorys
Nuke
Apr 24
111d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
MIBR Academy
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 80.5KAST 75%
ST
stormzyn
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 70%
AL
Alisson
EntryADR 75.9KAST 75%
LK
lkz
AWPADR 72.2KAST 72%
DI
divine
AWPADR 65.6KAST 76%
FL
fl4sh
EntryADR 75.3KAST 70%
HA
happ
RiflerADR 66.2KAST 72%
JE
Jerr1
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 70%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
LP
5
–
13
MA
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Opening Kills
LP
MA
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
MIBR Academy
13-9
vs R2
May 20
8-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 2
16-12
vs UNO MILLE
Apr 16
Inferno
LP
13
–
5
MA
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Ranking
LP
MA
Ban Rate
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Recent on Inferno
LP
16-14
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-1
vs 25 cents
May 28
13-5
vs Isurus
May 23
13-8
vs Yawara
May 22
13-8
vs VEXA
May 21
MIBR Academy
no data
Overpass
LP
6
–
13
MA
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Map Player Rating
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
MA
Recent on Overpass
LP
13-8
vs Galorys
May 30
5-13
vs Galorys
May 27
10-13
vs Galorys
May 24
10-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 24
13-7
vs Galorys
May 9
MIBR Academy
9-13
vs Procyon
May 19
11-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 29
5-13
vs Galorys
Apr 27
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 18
13-8
vs Crashers
Mar 21
Dust2
LP
11
–
13
MA
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
MA
Map Win Rate
LP
MA
Round Win Rate
LP
MA
Opening Kills
LP
MA
After First Death
LP
MA
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
13-2
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
11-13
vs Yawara
May 22
9-13
vs Isurus
May 14
13-11
vs BESTIA Academy
May 12
MIBR Academy
16-12
vs Isurus
Jun 24
4-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 22
9-13
vs Procyon
May 19
8-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 2
13-10
vs Fluxo
Apr 26