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Bo3  ·  Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier · 2026-06-21
FOKUS ✗
vs
Phantom
90%
10%
Series win probability
FOKU 2–0 63%
FOKU 2–1 27%
PHAN 2–1 6%
PHAN 2–0 4%
Actual result
Dust2 13–10 FOKU
Ancient 13–7 PHAN
Nuke 19–16 PHAN
Model Insights
FOKUS is strongly favored at 90%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#34 vs #75), a strong ancient (85% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 32% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 29% Ancient · Dust2 · Overpass
Ancient
FOKU 13 – 6 PHAN
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
FOKUS
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-10 vs Nemesis May 31
13-9 vs fnatic May 30
13-8 vs Inner Circle May 24
8-13 vs Sharks May 23
Phantom
16-14 vs JiJieHao Jun 18
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
Dust2
FOKU 13 – 9 PHAN
81%
19%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-8 vs Nemiga May 31
9-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-8 vs fnatic May 30
13-11 vs Ursa May 28
Phantom
13-9 vs Walczaki Jun 20
13-6 vs Acend Jun 7
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-11 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-4 vs TNC May 28
Nuke
FOKU 13 – 9 PHAN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
T Side
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
T 5v4
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
FOKUS
13-7 vs Noir Verse Jun 18
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 24
6-13 vs Wildcard May 24
13-8 vs Sharks May 23
11-13 vs Oxuji May 19
Phantom
16-14 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
14-16 vs Young Ninjas May 29
11-13 vs TNC May 28
9-13 vs Atreides May 28
13-8 vs BRUTE May 25
Ancient
FOKU 13 – 6 PHAN
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
FOKUS
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-10 vs Nemesis May 31
13-9 vs fnatic May 30
13-8 vs Inner Circle May 24
8-13 vs Sharks May 23
Phantom
16-14 vs JiJieHao Jun 18
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
Dust2
FOKU 13 – 9 PHAN
81%
19%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-8 vs Nemiga May 31
9-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-8 vs fnatic May 30
13-11 vs Ursa May 28
Phantom
13-9 vs Walczaki Jun 20
13-6 vs Acend Jun 7
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-11 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-4 vs TNC May 28
Mirage
FOKU 13 – 10 PHAN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Opening Kills
FOKU
PHAN
After First Kill
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
FOKUS
14-16 vs Nemiga May 31
5-13 vs Nemesis May 31
16-14 vs Inner Circle May 24
2-13 vs 1win May 20
7-13 vs Wildcard Apr 6
Phantom
7-13 vs Acend Jun 7
10-13 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
8-13 vs Young Ninjas May 29
2-13 vs TNC May 28
Ancient
FOKU 13 – 6 PHAN
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
FOKUS
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-10 vs Nemesis May 31
13-9 vs fnatic May 30
13-8 vs Inner Circle May 24
8-13 vs Sharks May 23
Phantom
16-14 vs JiJieHao Jun 18
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
Dust2
FOKU 13 – 9 PHAN
81%
19%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Round Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Map Win Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
13-5 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-8 vs Nemiga May 31
9-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-8 vs fnatic May 30
13-11 vs Ursa May 28
Phantom
13-9 vs Walczaki Jun 20
13-6 vs Acend Jun 7
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-11 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-4 vs TNC May 28
Overpass
FOKU 13 – 4 PHAN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Opening Kills
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
FOKUS
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-3 vs Nemiga May 31
16-13 vs Ursa May 28
13-11 vs Sharks May 23
13-10 vs BC.Game Apr 7
Phantom
13-11 vs JiJieHao Jun 18
13-11 vs Acend Jun 7
13-11 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
13-10 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
16-12 vs Young Ninjas May 29
Recent Results last 11 matches
FOKUS
Phantom
W 2-1 vs CYBERSHOKE Dust2OverpassAncient Jun 20 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse InfernoNuke Jun 18 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemiga Dust2MirageOverpass May 31 23d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemesis AncientMirageDust2 May 31 23d ago
W 2-1 vs fnatic AncientInfernoDust2 May 30 24d ago
W 2-0 vs Ursa OverpassDust2 May 28 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle NukeMirageAncient May 24 30d ago
L 1-2 vs Wildcard InfernoDust2Nuke May 24 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Sharks AncientNukeOverpass May 23 31d ago
L 0-2 vs Wildcard InfernoDust2 May 23 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Rebels AncientDust2 May 22 32d ago
W 2-0 vs Walczaki AnubisDust2 Jun 20 3d ago
W 2-0 vs JiJieHao OverpassAncient Jun 18 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Acend Dust2MirageOverpass Jun 7 16d ago
L 0-2 vs 100 Thieves AncientDust2 Jun 5 18d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Tricked AncientOverpass Jun 3 20d ago
W 2-1 vs DragonClaw MirageDust2Overpass Jun 1 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Bushido Wildcats NukeMirage May 30 24d ago
L 1-2 vs Young Ninjas OverpassNukeMirage May 29 25d ago
L 1-2 vs TNC Dust2MirageNuke May 28 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides MirageNuke May 28 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds Dust2Overpass May 27 27d ago
Player Matchups
FOKUS
Ratings
Phantom
BA
Banjo
EntryADR 75.4KAST 76%
1.12 vs 1.12
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 73.2KAST 74%
JO
Jorko
AWPADR 76.0KAST 75%
1.12 vs 1.08
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 73%
MA
Matheos
RiflerADR 77.1KAST 74%
1.09 vs 1.06
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 70.7KAST 70%
VO
volt
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 76%
1.05 vs 1.02
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 70%
ZT
ztr
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 72%
1.00 vs 1.01
TM
TMB
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
FOKU 13 – 5 PHAN
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
After First Kill
FOKU
PHAN
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ban Rate
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Inferno
FOKUS
13-4 vs Noir Verse Jun 18
7-13 vs fnatic May 30
7-13 vs Wildcard May 24
3-13 vs Wildcard May 23
13-2 vs Oxuji May 19
Phantom
no data
Overpass
FOKU 13 – 4 PHAN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Opening Kills
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
FOKUS
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 20
13-3 vs Nemiga May 31
16-13 vs Ursa May 28
13-11 vs Sharks May 23
13-10 vs BC.Game Apr 7
Phantom
13-11 vs JiJieHao Jun 18
13-11 vs Acend Jun 7
13-11 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
13-10 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
16-12 vs Young Ninjas May 29
Anubis
FOKU 7 – 13 PHAN
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
After First Kill
FOKU
PHAN
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
Map Player Rating
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
FOKUS
no data
Phantom
13-11 vs Walczaki Jun 20
13-16 vs fnatic Apr 30
Mirage
FOKU 13 – 10 PHAN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FOKU
PHAN
Ranking
FOKU
PHAN
After First Death
FOKU
PHAN
Opening Kills
FOKU
PHAN
After First Kill
FOKU
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
FOKUS
14-16 vs Nemiga May 31
5-13 vs Nemesis May 31
16-14 vs Inner Circle May 24
2-13 vs 1win May 20
7-13 vs Wildcard Apr 6
Phantom
7-13 vs Acend Jun 7
10-13 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
8-13 vs Young Ninjas May 29
2-13 vs TNC May 28
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