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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · 2026-06-15
SPARTA
vs
G2 Ares
50%
50%
Series win probability
SPAR 2–1 39%
G2A 2–0 27%
G2A 2–1 23%
SPAR 2–0 11%
Actual result
Dust2 16–14 SPAR
Inferno 13–3 SPAR
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — SPARTA is slightly favored at 50% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (68% win probability). G2 Ares's best shot is overpass where they hold a 84% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Mirage · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 2 33% Mirage · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 3 26% Mirage · Overpass · Ancient
Mirage
SPAR 13 8 G2A
68%
32%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
T 5v4
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs Leo Jun 14
13-6 vs AM Jun 7
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 5
13-5 vs Ursa Jun 4
G2 Ares
7-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
13-2 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
13-4 vs illwill Jun 10
13-6 vs Vexar May 31
9-13 vs Enjoy May 30
Overpass
SPAR 7 13 G2A
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Ranking
SPAR
G2A
Opening Kills
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
2-13 vs AM Jun 7
G2 Ares
11-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
11-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 12
8-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
4-13 vs illwill Jun 10
13-3 vs aAa Jun 6
Dust2
SPAR 13 10 G2A
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
T 5v4
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Opening Kills
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
8-13 vs Leo Jun 14
13-9 vs GenOne Jun 12
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
13-5 vs brazylijski luz Jun 10
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 4
G2 Ares
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 12
13-11 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
19-16 vs illwill Jun 10
11-13 vs Enjoy May 31
13-16 vs Lilmix May 25
Mirage
SPAR 13 8 G2A
68%
32%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
T 5v4
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs Leo Jun 14
13-6 vs AM Jun 7
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 5
13-5 vs Ursa Jun 4
G2 Ares
7-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
13-2 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
13-4 vs illwill Jun 10
13-6 vs Vexar May 31
9-13 vs Enjoy May 30
Overpass
SPAR 7 13 G2A
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Ranking
SPAR
G2A
Opening Kills
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
2-13 vs AM Jun 7
G2 Ares
11-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
11-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 12
8-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
4-13 vs illwill Jun 10
13-3 vs aAa Jun 6
Inferno
SPAR 13 10 G2A
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Player Rating
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Ranking
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Inferno
SPARTA
13-9 vs Atreides Jun 10
G2 Ares
8-13 vs Walczaki Jun 15
13-3 vs aAa Jun 6
2-13 vs Atreides May 31
13-5 vs NEW VISION May 28
13-16 vs Lilmix May 27
Mirage
SPAR 13 8 G2A
68%
32%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
T 5v4
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs Leo Jun 14
13-6 vs AM Jun 7
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 5
13-5 vs Ursa Jun 4
G2 Ares
7-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
13-2 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
13-4 vs illwill Jun 10
13-6 vs Vexar May 31
9-13 vs Enjoy May 30
Overpass
SPAR 7 13 G2A
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Ranking
SPAR
G2A
Opening Kills
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
2-13 vs AM Jun 7
G2 Ares
11-13 vs PsychoFace Jun 13
11-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 12
8-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 10
4-13 vs illwill Jun 10
13-3 vs aAa Jun 6
Ancient
SPAR 10 13 G2A
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Map Player Rating
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
5-13 vs Leo Jun 14
4-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
13-7 vs brazylijski luz Jun 10
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 5
G2 Ares
13-10 vs Vexar May 31
19-15 vs Enjoy May 31
14-16 vs Atreides May 31
8-13 vs Enjoy May 30
13-10 vs NEW VISION May 28
Recent Results last 11 matches
SPARTA
G2 Ares
L 1-2 vs Leo AncientMirageDust2 Jun 14 9d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne AncientDust2Nuke Jun 12 11d ago
L 0-2 vs KOLESIE NukeDust2 Jun 11 12d ago
W 2-0 vs Atreides InfernoNuke Jun 10 13d ago
W 2-0 vs brazylijski luz AncientDust2 Jun 10 13d ago
L 1-2 vs AM MirageNukeOverpass Jun 7 16d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE AncientMirage Jun 5 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Ursa MirageDust2 Jun 4 19d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace MirageOverpass Jun 13 10d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY OverpassDust2 Jun 12 11d ago
W 2-1 vs Young Ninjas OverpassDust2Mirage Jun 10 13d ago
W 2-1 vs illwill Dust2OverpassMirage Jun 10 13d ago
W 2-0 vs aAa InfernoOverpass Jun 6 17d ago
W 2-0 vs Vexar MirageAncient May 31 23d ago
L 1-2 vs Enjoy AncientOverpassDust2 May 31 23d ago
L 1-2 vs Atreides OverpassAncientInferno May 31 23d ago
L 1-2 vs Enjoy AncientOverpassMirage May 30 24d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION AncientInferno May 28 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix InfernoMirageAncient May 27 27d ago
Player Matchups
SPARTA
Ratings
G2 Ares
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 82.1KAST 72%
1.14 vs 1.16
TA
tAk
EntryADR 82.2KAST 75%
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 73%
1.12 vs 1.12
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 74.6KAST 74%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 76.3KAST 72%
1.08 vs 1.06
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 72%
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.00
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 72%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 66.3KAST 69%
0.90 vs 0.94
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 64.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Nuke
SPAR 13 4 G2A
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
Ban Rate
SPAR
G2A
Map Player Rating
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
8-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
13-10 vs Atreides Jun 10
6-13 vs AM Jun 7
G2 Ares
no data
Inferno
SPAR 13 10 G2A
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Player Rating
SPAR
G2A
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Ranking
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Inferno
SPARTA
13-9 vs Atreides Jun 10
G2 Ares
8-13 vs Walczaki Jun 15
13-3 vs aAa Jun 6
2-13 vs Atreides May 31
13-5 vs NEW VISION May 28
13-16 vs Lilmix May 27
Ancient
SPAR 10 13 G2A
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
G2A
Round Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
G2A
Map Win Rate
SPAR
G2A
Map Player Rating
SPAR
G2A
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
5-13 vs Leo Jun 14
4-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
13-7 vs brazylijski luz Jun 10
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 5
G2 Ares
13-10 vs Vexar May 31
19-15 vs Enjoy May 31
14-16 vs Atreides May 31
8-13 vs Enjoy May 30
13-10 vs NEW VISION May 28
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