Bo5 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-21
FURIA
✗
vs
Falcons
60%
40%
Series win probability
FURI
3–0
28%
FURI
3–2
25%
FALC
3–2
25%
FALC
3–1
14%
FURI
3–1
7%
Actual result
Mirage
13–8
FALC
Anubis
13–8
FALC
Inferno
13–8
FALC
Model Insights
FURIA has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 3 of 5 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.05), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#5 vs #2), a strong inferno (92% win probability). Falcons's best shot is anubis where they hold a 88% edge.
Predicted Maps
5 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Inferno · Mirage · Anubis · Dust2 · Nuke
Inferno
FURI
13
–
5
FALC
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
FALC
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Map Player Rating
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Ranking
FURI
FALC
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
5-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 12
13-4
vs B8
Jun 11
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
Falcons
11-13
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-9
vs Monte
Jun 13
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
Mirage
FURI
13
–
8
FALC
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
FALC
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Ranking
FURI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-9
vs 9z
Jun 18
13-10
vs B8
Jun 11
13-9
vs Falcons
May 15
11-13
vs Spirit
May 11
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
Falcons
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 20
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
Anubis
FURI
6
–
13
FALC
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
FALC
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Map Player Rating
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Map Win Rate
FURI
FALC
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13
vs Falcons
Feb 16
13-9
vs FUT
Feb 15
Falcons
16-14
vs Spirit
Jun 20
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 19
19-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
Dust2
FURI
10
–
13
FALC
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
FALC
Map Player Rating
FURI
FALC
CT Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
13-9
vs Aurora
Jun 20
8-13
vs 9z
Jun 18
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 13
17-19
vs Falcons
May 15
8-13
vs Spirit
May 11
Falcons
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 20
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 13
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
Nuke
FURI
16
–
14
FALC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Map Win Rate
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Ranking
FURI
FALC
T 5v4
FURI
FALC
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-4
vs Aurora
Jun 20
13-5
vs MOUZ
Jun 12
20-22
vs Falcons
May 15
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FURIA
Falcons
W
2-0
vs Aurora
Dust2Nuke
Jun 20
3d ago
W
2-1
vs 9z
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 18
5d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
OverpassDust2
Jun 13
10d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
NukeInfernoOverpass
Jun 12
11d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageInferno
Jun 11
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
NukeOverpassInferno
May 12
42d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
Dust2OverpassMirage
May 11
43d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC
MirageInferno
May 10
44d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeOverpass
May 9
45d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 30
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Spirit
AnubisMirageDust2
Jun 20
3d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
AnubisInfernoDust2
Jun 19
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jun 14
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
InfernoDust2Mirage
Jun 13
10d ago
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
NukeAncient
Jun 12
11d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
12d ago
L
1-3
vs Legacy
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
31d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
33d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
34d ago
W
1-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2
May 19
35d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
Falcons
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 80.8KAST 77%
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 81.6KAST 76%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 78.8KAST 75%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 80.8KAST 74%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 80.3KAST 73%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 74.3KAST 73%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 78%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 72%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 62.5KAST 72%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 56.8KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Overpass
FURI
13
–
5
FALC
94%
6%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
FALC
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Map Player Rating
FURI
FALC
Ban Rate
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
13-6
vs 9z
Jun 18
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 13
13-7
vs MOUZ
Jun 12
10-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
16-12
vs Spirit
May 11
Falcons
no data
Ancient
FURI
6
–
13
FALC
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
FALC
Map Player Rating
FURI
FALC
Ban Rate
FURI
FALC
Opening Kills
FURI
FALC
After First Death
FURI
FALC
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20