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Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 · 2026-06-18
9z
vs
FURIA ✓
12%
88%
Series win probability
FURI 2–0 64%
FURI 2–1 23%
9Z 2–1 8%
9Z 2–0 4%
Actual result
Dust2 13–8 9Z
Mirage 13–9 FURI
Overpass 13–6 FURI
Model Insights
FURIA is strongly favored at 88%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Overpass · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2 32% Overpass · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3 31% Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Overpass
9Z 8 – 13 FURI
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Overpass
9z
13-8 vs The MongolZ Jun 15
16-12 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-1 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-10 vs TYLOO Jun 8
19-16 vs FaZe May 29
FURIA
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 13
13-7 vs MOUZ Jun 12
10-13 vs Gentle Mates May 12
16-12 vs Spirit May 11
13-3 vs Monte May 9
Inferno
9Z 7 – 13 FURI
10%
90%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Map Player Rating
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
After First Kill
9Z
FURI
Recent on Inferno
9z
13-8 vs The MongolZ Jun 15
4-13 vs Vitality Jun 12
13-9 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-6 vs TYLOO Jun 8
16-14 vs HEROIC May 28
FURIA
5-13 vs MOUZ Jun 12
13-4 vs B8 Jun 11
13-6 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-7 vs HEROIC May 10
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
Nuke
9Z 9 – 13 FURI
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
13-5 vs Astralis Jun 6
11-13 vs Sharks May 27
13-10 vs MOUZ May 11
FURIA
13-5 vs MOUZ Jun 12
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
Overpass
9Z 8 – 13 FURI
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Overpass
9z
13-8 vs The MongolZ Jun 15
16-12 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-1 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-10 vs TYLOO Jun 8
19-16 vs FaZe May 29
FURIA
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 13
13-7 vs MOUZ Jun 12
10-13 vs Gentle Mates May 12
16-12 vs Spirit May 11
13-3 vs Monte May 9
Nuke
9Z 9 – 13 FURI
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
13-5 vs Astralis Jun 6
11-13 vs Sharks May 27
13-10 vs MOUZ May 11
FURIA
13-5 vs MOUZ Jun 12
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
Dust2
9Z 10 – 13 FURI
33%
67%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
FURI
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Elo Diff
9Z
FURI
Recent on Dust2
9z
5-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
14-16 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-11 vs Vitality Jun 12
8-13 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-9 vs FlyQuest Jun 6
FURIA
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 13
17-19 vs Falcons May 15
8-13 vs Spirit May 11
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
Overpass
9Z 8 – 13 FURI
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Overpass
9z
13-8 vs The MongolZ Jun 15
16-12 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-1 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-10 vs TYLOO Jun 8
19-16 vs FaZe May 29
FURIA
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 13
13-7 vs MOUZ Jun 12
10-13 vs Gentle Mates May 12
16-12 vs Spirit May 11
13-3 vs Monte May 9
Nuke
9Z 9 – 13 FURI
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Ranking
9Z
FURI
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
13-5 vs Astralis Jun 6
11-13 vs Sharks May 27
13-10 vs MOUZ May 11
FURIA
13-5 vs MOUZ Jun 12
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
Mirage
9Z 8 – 13 FURI
23%
77%
Win prob OT 8% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
CT Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Recent on Mirage
9z
13-16 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-9 vs Vitality Jun 12
3-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
15-19 vs FaZe May 29
13-2 vs magic May 15
FURIA
13-10 vs B8 Jun 11
13-9 vs Falcons May 15
11-13 vs Spirit May 11
13-4 vs HEROIC May 10
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
Recent Results last 11 matches
9z
FURIA
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ InfernoOverpass Jun 15 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora NukeDust2 Jun 14 9d ago
L 1-2 vs Spirit OverpassMirageDust2 Jun 13 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Vitality InfernoMirageDust2 Jun 12 11d ago
W 2-1 vs PARIVISION OverpassDust2Inferno Jun 11 12d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO OverpassInferno Jun 8 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit MirageNuke Jun 7 16d ago
W 1-0 vs FlyQuest Dust2 Jun 6 17d ago
W 1-0 vs Astralis Nuke Jun 6 17d ago
L 1-2 vs FaZe MirageOverpassAncient May 29 25d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC InfernoOverpassDust2 May 28 26d ago
W 2-0 vs BetBoom OverpassDust2 Jun 13 10d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NukeInfernoOverpass Jun 12 11d ago
W 2-0 vs B8 MirageInferno Jun 11 12d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageNukeDust2 May 15 39d ago
W 2-1 vs Gentle Mates NukeOverpassInferno May 12 42d ago
L 1-2 vs Spirit Dust2OverpassMirage May 11 43d ago
W 2-0 vs HEROIC MirageInferno May 10 44d ago
W 2-0 vs Monte NukeOverpass May 9 45d ago
L 1-2 vs FaZe Dust2MirageNuke Apr 30 54d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion InfernoNukeMirage Apr 29 55d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 19 65d ago
Player Matchups
9z
Ratings
FURIA
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.8KAST 72%
1.18 vs 1.18
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 82.5KAST 76%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 79.8KAST 74%
1.13 vs 1.17
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 79.6KAST 75%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 73%
1.10 vs 1.09
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 79.5KAST 74%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 62.8KAST 73%
1.00 vs 1.02
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 77%
MA
max
RiflerADR 63.8KAST 72%
0.93 vs 0.94
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 63.4KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
9Z 8 – 13 FURI
23%
77%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
CT Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Map Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Recent on Mirage
9z
13-16 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-9 vs Vitality Jun 12
3-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
15-19 vs FaZe May 29
13-2 vs magic May 15
FURIA
13-10 vs B8 Jun 11
13-9 vs Falcons May 15
11-13 vs Spirit May 11
13-4 vs HEROIC May 10
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
Ancient
9Z 13 – 8 FURI
67%
33%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
FURI
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Map Player Rating
9Z
FURI
Ban Rate
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Recent on Ancient
9z
9-13 vs FaZe May 29
11-13 vs magic May 15
13-9 vs MOUZ May 11
13-8 vs PARIVISION May 9
13-11 vs Legacy Apr 26
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
Dust2
9Z 10 – 13 FURI
33%
67%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
FURI
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
Multi-Kills
9Z
FURI
Elo Diff
9Z
FURI
Recent on Dust2
9z
5-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
14-16 vs Spirit Jun 13
13-11 vs Vitality Jun 12
8-13 vs PARIVISION Jun 11
13-9 vs FlyQuest Jun 6
FURIA
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 13
17-19 vs Falcons May 15
8-13 vs Spirit May 11
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
Anubis
9Z 16 – 14 FURI
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
FURI
Opening Kills
9Z
FURI
Round Win Rate
9Z
FURI
After First Kill
9Z
FURI
Ban Rate
9Z
FURI
Recent on Anubis
9z
11-13 vs Legacy Apr 26
13-11 vs Legacy Mar 30
FURIA
11-13 vs Falcons Feb 16
13-9 vs FUT Feb 15
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 1 match
Aurora over BetBoom 51%