Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-12
FURIA
vs
MOUZ
✗
46%
54%
Series win probability
MOUZ
2–0
31%
FURI
2–1
26%
MOUZ
2–1
23%
FURI
2–0
20%
Actual result
Nuke
13–5
FURI
Inferno
13–5
MOUZ
Overpass
13–7
FURI
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — MOUZ is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (65% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
34%
Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3
28%
Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Overpass
FURI
8
–
13
MOUZ
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
10-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
16-12
vs Spirit
May 11
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
MOUZ
13-3
vs MIBR
May 23
13-8
vs B8
May 22
13-3
vs M80
May 21
13-7
vs paiN
May 21
Nuke
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22
vs Falcons
May 15
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
2-13
vs Spirit
May 16
Mirage
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10
vs B8
Jun 11
13-9
vs Falcons
May 15
11-13
vs Spirit
May 11
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Nuke
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22
vs Falcons
May 15
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
2-13
vs Spirit
May 16
Mirage
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10
vs B8
Jun 11
13-9
vs Falcons
May 15
11-13
vs Spirit
May 11
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Dust2
FURI
16
–
14
MOUZ
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
17-19
vs Falcons
May 15
8-13
vs Spirit
May 11
4-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-9
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
MOUZ
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
Nuke
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22
vs Falcons
May 15
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
2-13
vs Spirit
May 16
Mirage
FURI
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10
vs B8
Jun 11
13-9
vs Falcons
May 15
11-13
vs Spirit
May 11
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Inferno
FURI
13
–
7
MOUZ
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
5v4 Rounds
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-4
vs B8
Jun 11
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
MOUZ
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
13-7
vs G2
May 9
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FURIA
MOUZ
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageInferno
Jun 11
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
NukeOverpassInferno
May 12
42d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
Dust2OverpassMirage
May 11
43d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC
MirageInferno
May 10
44d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeOverpass
May 9
45d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 30
54d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
InfernoNukeMirage
Apr 29
55d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
65d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
66d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2
Apr 15
69d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
12d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
OverpassAncient
May 23
31d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
OverpassAncient
May 22
32d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
32d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
33d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
May 21
33d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
34d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Inferno
May 19
35d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 17
37d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Nuke
May 16
38d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
Dust2Nuke
May 14
40d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
MOUZ
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 82.9KAST 76%
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 86.5KAST 75%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 77.4KAST 74%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 76.7KAST 72%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 74%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 71.6KAST 72%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 76%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 63.1KAST 72%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
FURI
5
–
13
MOUZ
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Ban Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
After First Kill
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Inferno
FURI
13
–
7
MOUZ
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
5v4 Rounds
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-4
vs B8
Jun 11
13-6
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
MOUZ
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
13-7
vs G2
May 9
Dust2
FURI
16
–
14
MOUZ
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
17-19
vs Falcons
May 15
8-13
vs Spirit
May 11
4-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-9
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
MOUZ
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches