IEM Rio 2026 · Bo3

falcons vs spirit

spirit 62% to win the series

0-2 47%
2-1 28%
1-2 15%

Actual: Spirit None ✓ correct

spirit has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#5 vs #3), a strong dust2 (82% win probability). falcons's best shot is anubis where they hold a 77% edge.

Played maps

mirage falcons pick

spirit 66% predicted 11-13 OT 0%

Actual: 4-13 (Spirit) ✓

Top drivers

Round Win Rate → spirit
Head-to-Head → falcons
Map Win Rate → spirit
Overall Rating → spirit
After First Kill → spirit
Opening Score → spirit

dust2 spirit pick

spirit 71% predicted 8-13 OT 0%

Actual: 7-13 (Spirit) ✓

Top drivers

Map Player Rating → spirit
After First Kill → spirit
Round Win Rate → falcons
After First Death → spirit
Head-to-Head → falcons
Map Win Rate → falcons

anubis decider

falcons 65% predicted 13-8 OT 0%

Top drivers

After First Death → falcons
Round Win Rate → spirit
Head-to-Head → falcons
Map Player Rating → falcons
After First Kill → spirit
Opening Kills → falcons